Go ahead, time the market

8th Jan 2008: NIFTY closes at a lifetime high of 6,288. 27th Oct 2008: NIFTY closes at 2,524. Down 60% from the January high. Till date, this remains the largest drawdown in its history. What would a simple and implementable system that warned you to get out of the market before impending declines look like? Yes, I know. It can’t be done. All the “market timing does not work” literature categorically proves it. But isn’t the truism “Buy low, Sell high”, an attempt to time the market? So let’s consider this in the safe confines of an academic study and

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