Beware advice from the successful

Survivorship Bias OR How a mathematician helped win a war In 1942, in the middle of the bloodiest wars ever seen, the United States military, brought together some of the brightest minds borrowed from the top universities around the country and called it, the Applied Mathematics Panel. “Here is how it worked: Somewhere inside the vast machinery of war a commander would stumble into a problem. That commander would send a request to the head of the Panel who would then assign the task to the group he thought would best be able to resolve the issue. Scientists in that group would then

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