The smelting of Indian stocks

This post was first published on capitalmind.in Markets have been getting smashed over the last 12-18 months, dramatic corporate tax reform notwithstanding. But because our benchmark index views are market-cap weighted, they don’t do justice to the phenomenal destruction in value across the board. Overall, the 1,900 companies we analysed, went from a market cap of Rs 1,46,19,230 Crores ($ 2.1 Trillion) in the middle of 2018, to currently about Rs 1,37,95,850 Crores ($ 1.97 Trillion).  Wait. That’s a 6% decline in a little over 12 months. What’s all the hand-wringing pessimism about then? Maybe we’ve just been spoilt by

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The most profitable industries in India in 2019

“Why so glum? It’s friday afternoon for crying out loud” (A senior executive to his subordinate) Subordinate: “See this pile of resumes? All applicants for that open role on our team. I’ll spend the best part of the weekend shortlisting this lot.” Senior Exec: (picks up pile, splits into two. Tosses one half into the trash can) Shocked Subordinate: “What about finding the best person for the role?!” Senior Exec: “Who needs unlucky people on the team. Enjoy your weekend.” Think of the pile as companies you could invest in. Sure you could comb through each one to find the

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Fundamental Analysis Tools for Investors in India

In the course of finding the most time-efficient way of analyzing companies shortlisted for investment, I’ve come across various tools available to Indian investors. This post compiles a list of some of the tools that I’ve tried either briefly or extensively along with some of their key strengths and weaknesses. Note that this list is far from comprehensive and also that digested analysis from any source is typically only a starting point and not a substitute for diving into past annual reports to gain context of the fundamentals. Overall note of caution on using any tool that aggregates data is to assume

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Mercedes or Honda?

Two recent first-hand incidents got me to post this eccentric poll on twitter yesterday. You’re buying a spanking new car. You only have two options. Both involve cars dressed up to look different (only on the outside.) Option 1. Mercedes S-Class. Looks like Honda Civic Option 2. Honda Civic. Looks like Mercedes S-Class Which do you choose? — Calm Investor (@CalmInvestor) July 19, 2019 The two incidents: One. I and my wife had taken our 1-year old for his first haircut. My son, sitting in his mother’s lap, looks around happily, smiling at the strangers trying to distract him, as

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Introducing Calm Investor smallcases

Introducing Calm Investor smallcases allowing for one-click implementations and rebalancing. In August last year, I wrote about my strategy of building a portfolio constructed on price momentum principles as a satellite to my core value portfolio. Almost out of academic curiosity, I offered a paid subscription to the portfolio. The concept was simple, and the plan was to set up a google sheet with the current constituents and weights of the portfolio. Subscribers to the momentum portfolio would have access to the sheet and receive an email every time I rebalanced or made changes to the portfolio. Expecting no more

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DMA as a simple investment tool

“It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” *** Oracle: “what’s funny?” Neo: “Morpheus. He almost had me convinced” Oracle: “I know. Poor Morpheus. Without him, we’re lost” Neo: “What do you mean, without him?” Oracle: “Are you sure you want to hear this?” Neo: *Nods* Oracle: “Morpheus believes in you Neo. And no one, not you, not even me can convince him otherwise. He believes it so blindly that he is going to sacrifice his live to save yours.” *** That used to be me, with

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How risky are small and mid caps, really?

Synthetics & Chemicals, SOL Pharmaceuticals, Prime Securities, Mardia Chemicals, Industrial Oxygen, FGP ltd, Asian Coffee, Rico Auto Industries, Modiluft…What do these companies mean to you? How about these: Value Industries, Crest Animation Studios, Chettinad Cement, Agro Dutch Industries, Matrix Laboratories, Aztecsoft, Salora International, Golden Tobacco…Do they ring a bell? Unless you were an active stock picker two decades ago, you probably didn’t recognise the first set. Or a decade ago, for the second set. Now take a look at this chart. You’ve probably seen it before. The NIFTY 500 (the index made up of the largest 500 companies by market

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